Find a match with an expected average of 2.5 goals.

According to statistics, matches with a low expected total goal count have a higher likelihood of ending in a draw. In long-term betting strategies, focusing on these matches significantly increases your chances of winning.

Typically, matches with an average goal count of 2.5 or lower are a good indication to bet on a draw in the 1X2 market.

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To determine the expected average goal count, you can do the following:

• Refer to the betting odds on M88.

• Consult reliable football prediction websites.

• Analyze the recent head-to-head records between the two teams or their records against other teams.

• Consider the Over/Under betting options.

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Identify special tournaments/teams/matches.

Certain teams or tournaments may stand out with a high draw rate. However, it's essential to note that these statistics can change quickly each season or with coaching changes. Therefore, you need to stay updated on the latest betting history on M88.

Pay attention to weaker teams playing at home.

The probability of a draw is relatively high when the underdog team plays at home, especially if the home team's ability is not significantly superior to the away team. However, it is important to check the head-to-head history between both teams to see if there are any notable goal differences.

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Pay attention to procedural matches at the end of the season.

In lower-level leagues, mid-table teams often lose motivation as their chances of turning the tables are not high. This is particularly evident in return matches, where most star players may not give their best to preserve their physical condition and avoid injuries in preparation for potential transfers in the upcoming season. This phenomenon is particularly apparent in Italian football leagues.

Pay attention to matches with balanced odds for the home and away teams.

When the bookmaker's odds for the home team and the away team are similar, it suggests that the bookmaker predicts an equal chance of both teams winning. This also indicates a higher likelihood of a draw compared to matches with significant odds differences.

Conclusion:

Ordinary bettors often avoid the draw in the 1X2 market, assuming that the likelihood of a draw is low. However, in reality, all three outcomes in this market have equal probabilities. By applying the five principles mentioned above, you can accurately identify matches with a higher probability of a draw compared to the other two outcomes.

Furthermore, the odds for the 1X2 market are consistently good. Therefore, if you know how to apply these principles effectively, it wouldn't be surprising for bettors to achieve significant and consistent wins by betting on draws.